Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 10:57 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Pistons will likely see an increase in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 5thbest in in the league with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
The matchup against Milwaukee may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 15 games when the Milwaukee Bucks are on their home court (27th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Detroit Pistons's poor 103.8 points per game comes in as the weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 24.2% on threes (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Bucks, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the most offensive boards per game (15.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes is expected to suffer a drop-off in performance across the board due to being on the road in this matchup.

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