Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has sunk an impressive 37.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, a significant increase from his 21.8 rate last year.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 54.9% on threes (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Pacers, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The 4th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Pacers).
The Pistons check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has successfully made a lowly 33.4% of his field goals this year, quite a bit lower than his 35.8 rate last year.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA playing at home this year.
Playing at home, the Indiana Pacers have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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