Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are at home, the other team has averaged 26.3 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, creating a challenging matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The Detroit Pistons will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the fastest tempo away team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).
The Pistons have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has converted a lowly 20.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, significantly less than his 24.9 mark last year.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.
While playing on the road, the Pacers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 82.3% clip, Killian Hayes's foul-shot efficiency has diminished this season to 73.5%.
This matchup is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Pacers are playing at home, the other team has attempted an enormous 28.2 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).

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