Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has converted a whopping 1.5 treys per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.0 mark last season.
The Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 12thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.
While playing away from home, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, their opposition has attempted 21.9 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

In terms of shooting, the Pistons's subpar 110.0 points per game comes in as the 7th-fewest in the league this year.
This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have put up the 5th-highest three rate in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (40.1%).
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.
Killian Hayes has converted just 73.5% of his foul shots this year, a sizeable decrease from his 82.3 mark last year.

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