Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has sunk an impressive 31.9% of his treys this season, quite a bit higher than his 23.3 mark last season.
The Pistons have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pistons are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 6 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Pistons check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the road team this year.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 5.2 3-point attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, designating this as a hard matchup.
The Cavaliers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes has converted a measly 73.5% of his free throws this year, a significant dropoff from his 82.3 mark last year.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 2.7 free throws per game since the start of last season (11th-least in the NBA).

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