Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 23.3% rate, Killian Hayes's three-point proficiency has spiked this season to 31.8%.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have averaged 2.3 threes per game (23rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, making this a positive matchup.
The 10th-speediest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the NBA while playing on the road with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Detroit Pistons have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the other team has snagged 12.4 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).

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