Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 5:16 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has scored 15.0 points per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 4.1 higher than he's scored overall this season on the road.
Killian Hayes has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
The matchup against Chicago is a good one for scoring; when the Bulls are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 30th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (48.3%).
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes has converted 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's made over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (93rd percentile).
The Detroit Pistons rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Bulls have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Pistons.
While playing at home, the Bulls have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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