Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has attempted 13.7 shots per game over the last 10 games, 3.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Killian Hayes has averaged 32.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.5 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a strong one for scoring; when the Magic have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have put up the 30th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (48.7%).
The Magic have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (93rd percentile).
The Detroit Pistons check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Killian Hayes will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production for all stats.

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