Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Houston Rockets vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has attempted 13.5 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.9 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Killian Hayes has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Rockets is a strong one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (22.3).
The Detroit Pistons have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes has converted 2.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (93rd percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Rockets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Pistons.
While at home, the Rockets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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