Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 21, 2023

Updated Mar 21, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has attempted 15.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Killian Hayes has averaged 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's averaged overall this season.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home.
The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (92nd percentile).
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Atlanta is a hard one for threes; when the Hawks have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 10th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.7).
The matchup against the Hawks is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 3.2 foul shots per game this year (12th-least in the league).
Killian Hayes will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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