Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 14, 2023 10:41 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has attempted 11.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Killian Hayes has attempted 4.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Wizards have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against Washington is a hard one; when the Wizards are at home, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (12.5).
Killian Hayes will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases player production for all stats.

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