Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 13, 2023

Updated Mar 13, 2023 10:27 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has attempted 11.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. the Pacers is a favorable one for scoring; the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 30th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.7%).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
Away from home, the Pacers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Indiana may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Pacers are on the road (12th-least in the NBA).

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