Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has attempted 11.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
The matchup against Charlotte is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Hornets are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.7).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Hornets have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league without the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Hornets have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Hornets may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games (12th-least in the league).

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