Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has attempted 11.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Killian Hayes has attempted 4.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Hornets is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.5).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Hornets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Pistons.
On their home court, the Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Charlotte may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games when the Hornets are at home (14th-least in the league).