Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-127/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has attempted 5.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup vs. Marcus Smart is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Smart is on his home court opposing starting PGs this year, they have made a massive 39.6% of their three-point attempts (100th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes has sunk an impressive 81.2% of his foul shots this year, a big improvement over his 72.8 mark last year.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Celtics have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Pistons.
The matchup against Marcus Smart is a hard one for getting to the foul line; when matched up against opposing starting PGs this year, they have attempted just 3.1 free throws per game (8th percentile).
Killian Hayes will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance across the board.

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