Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks · Jan 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has successfully made 7.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Killian Hayes has converted 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while playing at home.
Killian Hayes has played 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's played overall this year.
As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been very successful at drawing fouls: best in the league this year, tallying 27.2 free throws per game.
The matchup against the Knicks is a positive one for scoring; away from their home court, their opposition have posted the highest field goal percentage in the league this year (44.7%).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
While playing on the road, the Knicks have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.

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