Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has attempted 12.1 shots per game over the last 15 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Killian Hayes has attempted 5.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.7 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.
Killian Hayes has averaged 30.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Timberwolves.
As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been terrific at getting to the free throw line: best in the NBA this year, drawing 27.3 foul shot attempts per game.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to the other team this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 24.9 free throws per game when playing away from home this year (10th-least in the league).
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

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