Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has sunk 6.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.7 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season when playing on the road.
Killian Hayes has sunk 87.2% of his free throws this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Pistons have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year with the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Warriors.
As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been very successful at drawing fouls: best in the league this year, tallying 27.7 free throw attempts per game.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing teams have attempted a measly 24.7 foul shots per game while at home this year (7th-least in the NBA).
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; opposing teams have totaled the 7th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (36.7).
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
Killian Hayes will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually reduces player production across the board.

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