Killian Hayes Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Made 3 Point Shots

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 3:27 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has converted a whopping 1.5 treys per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.0 mark last season.
The Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 12thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.
While playing away from home, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to raise stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Pistons check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA at home this year when it comes to three-point attempts.
This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have put up the 5th-highest three rate in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (40.1%).
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.

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