Killian Hayes Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 2, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-189/+144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while at home.
The Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are at home, the other team has nabbed 9.8 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has converted 24.4% of his 3-point shots while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 19th percentile among all players in the league.
Killian Hayes has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league away from home since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a challenging one for threes; when the Pelicans are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have shot for the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the league since the start of last season (27.7%).
Killian Hayes is expected to see a decline in performance across the board considering playing on the visting team in this game.