Killian Hayes Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Made 3 Point Shots

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 9:56 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-235/+190).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has played 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 7.2 higher than he's played over the course of the year at home.
The matchup against the Heat is a strong one for attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 29th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (7.4).
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has successfully made 23.1% of his three-pointers at home this year, placing him in the 19th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Killian Hayes has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.
The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Pistons.