Killian Hayes Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2024

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 9, 2024

Updated Jan 9, 2024 11:56 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-157/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has tallied 4.3 assists per game this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric in recent games.
The Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home.
The Kings have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Pistons.
The Pistons check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Kings (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce more chances for offense).

Favors Under

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