Killian Hayes Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 10:57 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has averaged 4.4 assists per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch of games.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Pistons will likely see an increase in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 5thbest in in the league with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the most offensive boards per game (15.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes is expected to suffer a drop-off in performance across the board due to being on the road in this matchup.

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