Killian Hayes Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has averaged 4.4 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 86th percentile.
The 4th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Pacers).
The Pistons check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes stands to get a boost in efficiency across the board considering controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Playing at home, the Indiana Pacers have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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