Killian Hayes Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has compiled 6.2 assists per game while on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
Compared to last season's 2.9 clip, Killian Hayes's personal fouls per game have tailed off this season to 2.1.
The Pistons will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the fastest pace team in the league this year (the Wizards).
The Detroit Pistons have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes ought to see a spike in production in all facets of the game due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The 9th-slowest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Detroit Pistons.
This year when they are away from home, the other team has captured 13.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Washington Wizards (retaining possessions that can create further opportunities for offense).

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