Killian Hayes Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-141/+109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 12thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.
While playing away from home, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to raise stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has totaled a lowly 4.5 assists per game this season, significantly less than his 6.2 assists per game last season.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.

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