Killian Hayes Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 2, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has posted 6.0 assists per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while at home.
The Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are at home, the other team has nabbed 9.8 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
Killian Hayes is expected to see a decline in performance across the board considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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