Killian Hayes Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has put up 9.4 assists per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.9 higher than he's put up in all games this year at home.
Killian Hayes has played 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 7.2 higher than he's played over the course of the year at home.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.
The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Pistons.

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