Killian Hayes Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has put up 7.6 assists per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 higher than he's put up over the course of the season.
Killian Hayes has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The Thunder have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (93rd percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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