Killian Hayes Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 14, 2023 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has put up 4.3 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard in recent games: 89th percentile.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Wizards have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
Killian Hayes will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases player production for all stats.

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