Killian Hayes Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has posted 4.3 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's hottest in this category recently: 89th percentile.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Hornets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Pistons.
On their home court, the Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens stat production for all stats.

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