Killian Hayes Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has totaled 4.2 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 89th percentile.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
On the road, the Raptors have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Pistons.

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