Killian Hayes Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 26, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has averaged 7.7 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 more than he's averaged overall this year.
Killian Hayes has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 5.5 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year on the road.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (which also produce new chances for scoring and assists).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (89th percentile).
The Nets have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pistons have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Nets.
Killian Hayes will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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