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Khris Middleton

Khris Middleton Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2025

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards

 
 
 
Khris Middleton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Wizards have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road in terms of 3-point attempts.
  • This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Heat, making this a favorable matchup.
  • The matchup against Alec Burks is a good one for 3-pointers; when facing opposing starting SFs this year, they have sunk a whopping 38.9% of their shots from downtown (97th percentile).
  • Khris Middleton has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 13.0% higher than he's put through the net overall this season away from his home court.
  • Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Khris Middleton has attempted just 9.1 shots per game this season, significantly less than his 12.4 mark last season.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Khris Middleton comes in at the 76th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.2 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
  • The 10th-most lethargic pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Washington Wizards.
  • The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Washington Wizards.
  • The Wizards have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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