Khris Middleton Points - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2024

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Khris Middleton

NBA · Player Props

Khris Middleton

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 28, 2024

Updated Apr 28, 2024 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Khris Middleton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Khris Middleton has successfully made 9.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.1 more than he's made over the course of the season while playing away from home.
Khris Middleton has successfully made 54.8% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 13.9% higher than he's made in all games this year while on the road.
Khris Middleton has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's tallied overall this season.
With respect to shooting, the Bucks's remarkable 118.7 points per game comes in as the 4th-best in the NBA this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Khris Middleton ranks in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.6 fouls per game this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 2.9 three attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Pacers, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Khris Middleton will likely see a decline in efficiency across the board as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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