Khris Middleton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2024

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Khris Middleton

NBA · Player Props

Khris Middleton

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 20, 2024

Updated Mar 20, 2024 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Khris Middleton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-143/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Khris Middleton has made 58.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 10.4% higher than he's made over the course of the season away from his home court.
Khris Middleton has sunk 53.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 15.8% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.
In regard to offense, the Bucks's fantastic 120.7 points per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Celtics, resulting in a good matchup.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.

Favors Under

Khris Middleton has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with only 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Celtics, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Khris Middleton is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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