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Khris Middleton

Khris Middleton Points
Player Prop - 11/15/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks

Khris Middleton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 16.4 rate, Khris Middleton's points per game have jumped this season to 13.8.

Relative to last year's 5.4 rate, Khris Middleton's shots from behind the three-point arc have surged this year to 4.5 per game.

Khris Middleton has averaged a measly 1.3 personal fouls per game this season, significantly less than his 2.2 fouls per game last season.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 50.5% on 3-pointers (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Raptors, labeling this as a positive matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 25.1 rate, Khris Middleton's playing time has been reduced this year to 18.6 minutes per game.

The Raptors have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league on their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Raptors is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 3.0 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the league).

Khris Middleton ought to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this game.

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