Khris Middleton Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2023

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Khris Middleton

NBA · Player Props

Khris Middleton

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Apr 16, 2023

Updated Apr 17, 2023 2:16 AM EST

Analysis

Khris Middleton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Khris Middleton has made 6.7 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SFs have compiled the 28th-highest three percentage in the league this year (37.5%).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Khris Middleton has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.
As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line in recent games: worst in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, averaging just 18.8 foul shots per game.

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