Khris Middleton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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Khris Middleton

NBA · Player Props

Khris Middleton

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 10, 2023 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Khris Middleton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Khris Middleton has attempted 7.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Khris Middleton has averaged 32.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year.
The Nets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Nets is a tough one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs over the last 5 games (9.2).
The Nets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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