Khris Middleton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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Khris Middleton

NBA · Player Props

Khris Middleton

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Khris Middleton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Khris Middleton has attempted 7.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Khris Middleton has tallied 32.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
This matchup is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Suns are the visiting team, the other team have tallied the least treys per game in the NBA against them this year (11.4).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league while at home this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Suns have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.
When playing on the road, the Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a whopping 27.2 free throws per game over the last 25 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

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