Khris Middleton Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

NBA · Player Props

Khris Middleton

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 11:28 PM EST

Analysis

Khris Middleton Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Khris Middleton has failed to make 2.4 three-pointers per game this season, quite a bit less than his 3.4 rate last season.
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Milwaukee Bucks's stellar 13.8 successful threes per game places 7th-most in the league this year.
The 7th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Bucks will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have brought down 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Hornets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Khris Middleton has been on the court for a measly 18.8 minutes per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 25.1 minutes per game last year.
Khris Middleton has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The matchup vs. the Hornets is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.1).
The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Khris Middleton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.