Khris Middleton Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Khris Middleton

NBA · Player Props

Khris Middleton

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Khris Middleton Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 5.4 rate, Khris Middleton's shots from behind the three-point arc have surged this year to 4.5 per game.
Khris Middleton has averaged a measly 1.3 personal fouls per game this season, significantly less than his 2.2 fouls per game last season.
As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Bucks.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 50.5% on 3-pointers (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Raptors, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 25.1 rate, Khris Middleton's playing time has been reduced this year to 18.6 minutes per game.
The Raptors have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league on their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Khris Middleton ought to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this game.

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