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Khris Middleton

Khris Middleton Assists
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Khris Middleton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Khris Middleton has averaged 5.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged overall this year.

The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Heat have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Khris Middleton has tallied a mere 19.5 minutes per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 25.1 minutes per game last year.

Khris Middleton has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season.

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Bucks.

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 4thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Khris Middleton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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