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Kevon Looney

Kevon Looney Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Kevon Looney Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +109 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The showdown with Bam Adebayo measures in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs making a whopping 68.4% of their shots from the field this year.
  • The Golden State Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 25 games, the other team has collected 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).
  • Kevon Looney has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 22.4% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
  • Kevon Looney should see a spike in production for all stats on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Kevon Looney ranks in the 4th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a a lackluster 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
  • As it relates to offense, the Golden State Warriors's unimpressive 45.3% field goal percentage as the home team comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA this year.
  • The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.
  • The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Warriors.
  • The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game (17th percentile).

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