Kevon Looney Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Kevon Looney

NBA · Player Props

Kevon Looney

F · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 2:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Kevon Looney Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Golden State Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, the other team has collected 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).
Kevon Looney should see a spike in production for all stats on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Warriors.

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