Kevin Huerter Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Kevin Huerter

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Huerter

G-F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 3:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Kevin Huerter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Huerter has sunk 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year while playing at home.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a strong one for scoring; when the Spurs are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 29th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (54.7%).
The 9th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Kings.
The Kings will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kevin Huerter has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.3 higher than he's been called for overall this season at home.
In terms of getting to the charity stripe, the Kings's subpar 15.8 foul shots per game measures as the 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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