Kevin Durant Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 27, 2025

Updated Feb 28, 2025 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-108/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has tallied 5.8 defensive rebounds per game at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.
Kevin Durant has averaged 36.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Suns have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Suns are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
Kevin Durant will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally increases player production across the board.

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.8 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season at home.
The Suns have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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