Kevin Durant Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has totaled 6.4 defensive rebounds per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the best in the NBA in this category.
Kevin Durant has played 37.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The 3rd-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant rates in the 96th percentile for technical fouls, compiling an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team has come down with 11.5 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Warriors (continuing possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).
Kevin Durant will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production across the board.

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