Kevin Durant Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 6, 2024

Updated Feb 7, 2024 4:06 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has averaged 1.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 0.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
Kevin Durant has averaged 37.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Phoenix Suns will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from facing the fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have snagged 8.8 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Bucks (lessening possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant comes in at the 79th percentile for technical fouls, logging an enormous 0.1 fouls per game at home this year.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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