Kevin Durant Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 12:48 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has posted 6.6 defensive rebounds per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category.
Kevin Durant has played 37.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The 9th-fastest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
While playing at home, the Heat have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Phoenix Suns will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Kevin Durant will likely suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board in light of being on the road in this contest.

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